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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Tuesday 4/5


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Tuesday, April 5th

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Bets

Atlanta Hawks at Toronto Raptors (-4, 226)

Toronto’s incredible run was ruined over the weekend when it allowed Miami to score 69 points in the second half and lost 114-109 at home. Still, the Raptors are 11-3 SU/10-4 ATS in their last 14 games with the second-best defensive rating in the league (108.3) and a + 8.5 net rating. They’re not the only team that comes in on a hot streak though, as the Hawks has won and covered five straight, and is 7-2 SU and ATS in its last nine games. Having said that, this is going to be the best team Atlanta has faced during this run. Of the seven teams the Hawks beat during this run only three rank higher than 17th on the season in net rating, and all three of them – Cleveland, Memphis, Golden State – were missing either their best player or key personnel that day. Toronto has OG Anunoby on the injury report tonight, but he is the only person of note that could miss this contest. Defensively, I believe the Raptors have the personnel to slow Trae Young and the Hawks who have averaged 119.6 points per 100 possessions during this run. They have limited their 14 opponents to 109.4 points per 100 possessions in non-garbage time minutes, rank first in transition defense and have multiple defensive stoppers to throw at Young. If Anunoby plays it’s a bonus for Toronto, but I believe this team matches up well with a Hawks team that might be somewhat overvalued by the market because of a run against a soft schedule.

Play: Raptors (-3.5)

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