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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Tuesday 4/26


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Monday, April 25th

*Lines are opening numbers

Atlanta Hawks at Miami Heat (-7, 218)

Game 5: Heat lead 3-1

Through four games Atlanta has no answer for the hounding defense of Miami. The Hawks have averaged just 102.5 points per 100 possessions as well as 92.6 points per 100 plays in the halfcourt while losing the three games they have all by double-digits. Trae Young has had difficulty working his own game and comes into Game 5 averaging 16.5 points on 32.1% shooting from the floor while committing 6 turnovers per game. Outside of the second and fourth quarters of Game 3 this offense has been lifeless, and it is hard to make a case for it to find its spark on the road in a potential closeout game. The betting market has not adjusted its perception of Miami despite the success and the current line of -6.5 is off from the first two games of the series closed, but that is likely due to the absence of Kyle Lowry more than the market stubbornly believing in Atlanta to some degree. Keep your eye on the injury report today as well, because there are some important names on it. Miami has PJ Tucker listed as questionable which would mean two of their starting five missing this game if he cannot go. Meanwhile, Clint Capela and Bogdan Bogdanovic are questionable to play for Atlanta. Yet this line is creeping toward the direction of the underdog here.

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