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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Tuesday 3/8


Jonathan Von Tobel analyzes the daily NBA betting market.

Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Tuesday, March 8th

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Bets

New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies (-5.5, 231.5)

This game is going to be incredible. New Orleans is coming off a failed comeback attempt against Denver on Sunday night, rallying from a 21-point deficit in the first half to take a double-digit lead of its own only to fall in overtime. The loss dropped the Pelicans to 4-1 SU and ATS since the break, but that new starting lineup continues to deliver highly efficient offense. Now, they must go to Memphis where the Grizzlies are, by their own standards, in a small slump of 3-3 SU and ATS over the last six games. Both teams come in healthy here, so this comes down to the on-court matchups and New Orleans comes in with an ability to deal with all the aspects of Memphis’ game that makes them great. The Grizzlies do so much damage on the offensive glass, leading the league in both offensive rebounding rate (32.6%) and second chance points per game (18.1). However, the Pelicans are one of the best rebounding teams in the league, ranking third in both defensive rebounding rate (74.0%) and overall rebounding rate (51.6%). Their new lineup grabs offensive rebounds at a 39.2% clip as well, which will test the Grizzlies’ own abilities to rebound effectively. New Orleans can also run with Memphis. The Grizzlies rank first in points added per 100 possessions through transition offense (+ 4.1) but the Pelicans rank first in that category defensively (+ 1.5) and are second in overall defensive efficiency in transition (116.3). This change for New Orleans is real and it will be a great test for Memphis tonight. I’ll grab the points with them and continue to ride the wave.

Play: Pelicans (+ 6)

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