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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Tuesday 2/1

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Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Tuesday, February 1st

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

*New Orleans Pelicans @ Detroit Pistons (-2, 215.5)

It’s a tough scheduling spot for New Orleans tonight which is playing on the second leg of a back-to-back and fourth game in five nights. The Pelicans offense continues to struggle without Brandon Ingram who missed his fifth consecutive game with ankle injury last night. Cleveland held New Orleans to 1.0 point per possession and over the course of the last three games the Pelicans are averaging just 101.1 points per 100 possessions. It seems like it’s the perfect spot for Detroit to extend its current 5-1 ATS run. However, betting the NBA is not that simple. The Pistons’ offense begins and ends with dribble-penetration. They rank fifth in both drives per game (50.9) and frequency of attempts at the rim (29.7%), but the Pelicans rank eighth in frequency of opponent attempts at the rim (29.7%). Jonas Valanciunas, who returned on Monday from illness, is a great deterrent at the hoop defensively. With him on the floor opponent rim frequency drops by 5.2% and their rim shooting by 3.3%. New Orleans is also a fantastic rebounding team, ranking sixth in overall rebounding rate (51.5%), second in defensive rebounding (75.1%) and fifth in offensive rebounding (29.6%). Detroit is the worst rebounding team in the league, ranking 30th in overall rebounding rate (47.5%). Ingram or not, there is certainly a scenario in which the Pistons struggle to keep the Pelicans off the glass and fail to cover tonight.

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