NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Tuesday 12/7


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Tuesday, December 7th

It is the usual short card on a Tuesday, as we only get three games tonight.

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Brooklyn Nets (-2.5, 215.5) at Dallas Mavericks

This one is all about the injury report, as Luka Doncic is questionable to play due to ankle and thumb injuries. Doncic did not play this past weekend against Memphis, dropping Dallas to 0-4 SU and ATS in the games that he has missed this season. Kristaps Porzingis is expected to play tonight after he missed the same game with knee soreness, but Tim Hardaway Jr. is questionable as well. Brooklyn comes in off a loss to Chicago, dropping the team to 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine games. The Nets are 8-14-1 ATS on the season which is the second-worst cover rate (36.4%) on the season, ahead of only the Lakers, but this could be a buy-low opportunity for them. Dallas comes into tonight giving up 110.2 points per 100 possessions on defense with most of that damage coming from the perimeter. Opponents have shot 37.0% on all 3-point attempts against the Mavericks and 45.5% from the corners. The Nets shoot 37.7% overall and 39.6% from the corner, both marks good enough for 10th or better in the league. Even if Doncic is available tonight, it might not be the best thing for Dallas. With Doncic on the floor the Mavericks are outscored by 5.4 points every 100 possessions and their defense gives up 113.6 points per 100 possessions. Dallas is just a flawed team and those flaws have finally started to show. They are 2-7 SU/4-5 ATS over the last nine games overall with a -3.2 net rating. Despite the poor ATS record the Nets are still a decent team that is sixth in net rating on the season. The last game Brooklyn covered was against Boston, a game that was included in this column. Let’s take another shot with the Nets tonight.

Play: Nets (-2.5)

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