NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Tuesday 12/21

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Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Tuesday, December 21st

Only five games on the board tonight, but plenty to discuss!

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Detroit Pistons at New York Knicks (-9.5, 206.5)

New York’s loss to Boston over the weekend dropped it to 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six games and 2-7 SU and ATS in the month of December. Through those nine games the Knicks have been outscored by 5.3 points per 100 possessions, due in large part to defense that has a 116.9 rating. This roster is also in flux right now. Derrick Rose has not played since Thursday as he deals with an ankle injury, and six players, including RJ Barrett and Immanuel Quickley, are currently in COVID protocol. The status of those players could change at any moment, but this number seems somewhat inflated for a team in New York’s form. The Pistons stayed inside + 10 last week in Indiana, and it’s hard to make the case that this Knicks roster right now is just a half-point worse than the Pacers. Detroit has not been as consistent covering numbers this month, going 1-7 SU/4-4 ATS in the eight games played, but they are coming off a win at home over the Heat. They held Miami to 0.947 points per possession and 13-of-43 from deep, and they could replicate a solid defensive performance tonight against a short-handed Knicks team. Even at full strength I do not make the number this high for New York, so I’ll back the ugly ‘dog once more tonight.

Play: Pistons (+ 8.5)

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