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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Tuesday 11/23


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Tuesday, November 23rd

Only four games on the card tonight, but still plenty of action for bettors.

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Miami Heat (-8.5, 206.5) at Detroit Pistons

Last time out Miami blew a 10-point lead with less than five minutes to go against Washington, but this team is still in quality form. Six of their previous seven opponents have been held to fewer than 1.09 points per possession and they continue to be one of the best teams in the league at forcing turnovers, grabbing a possession 15.7% of the time. It seems like it is a match made in heaven for this defense as they face an offense that is averaging just 100.7 points per 100 possessions in non-garbage time minutes, is turning it over on 15.2% of its possessions and will be without its starting point guard in Killian Hayes. Isaiah Stewart is also sidelined for his antics in the contest with Los Angeles over the weekend, making this an extremely short-handed Pistons team. Detroit has been showing some fight as of late with a 5-5 ATS record in November, but that is with all hands on deck. Those absences are why the market is up to -10 almost everywhere, but the total is intriguing. In the lineups with Cory Joseph and Cade Cunningham on the floor together, the assumed pairing with Hayes out, Detroit is giving up just 102.7 points per 100 possessions and has not been outscored.  It’s somewhat surprising to see this total get bumped up on the overnight considering how slow they both play, and it is not a move I agree with.

Play: UNDER 208

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