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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Thursday 3/31

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Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Thursday, March 31st

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Bets

Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets (-1, 238)

Is Brooklyn going to be able to generate a defensive stop in this contest? The Nets might have Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant, but their defense has struggled greatly lately and now they have to face the best team in the Eastern Conference. For example, in their last seven games they have averaged 120.1 points per 100 possessions, but they only have a + 1.9 net rating because of a defense that has allowed 118.2 points per 100 possessions. Their most effective lineup of Irving, Durant, Seth Curry, Bruce Brown and Andre Drummond has an offensive rating of 130.5 but only a + 2.6 net rating due to the abysmal level of defense that unit plays. Are they really going to just drop 130 on Milwaukee to cover this number? It’s possible, but not the way it seems the Bucks are playing on defense. Milwaukee has the personnel to match up with Brooklyn’s two superstars and they are deadly on offense with Giannis Antetokounmpo on the floor. The betting market has pushed this line to -2 at most spots which might seem fair given the fact that homecourt has been worth two points this season, but that means these two are equal on a neutral court. By my numbers they are not, so give me the underdog tonight.

Play: Bucks (+ 2) 

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