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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Thursday 3/3

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Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Thursday, March 3rd

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Bets

Memphis Grizzlies (-3,224) at Boston Celtics

Boston will not have Jaylen Brown tonight after he suffered that ankle injury against Atlanta on Tuesday. However, even with Brown’s injury accounted for its hard to make the case for the Grizzlies to be favored on the road the way the Celtics have been playing. For those who have been buried under a rock, Boston is 12-2 SU/8-5-1 ATS with a league-leading net rating (+ 15.4) and defensive rating (101.1) during that stretch. They’ve been effective in every area of the floor, and even in a game without Brown they will likely not drop off much given how well Derrick White has played for them since the trade deadline With White on the floor the Celtics are + 15.6 per 100 possessions. He improves their defensive rating by 8.7 points per 100 possessions and he’s an incredible transition defender which goes a long way in a matchup like this. This comes down to the number right now. Homecourt is worth two points this season, and with this number opening at Grizzlies -3 oddsmakers told the market they were five points better on a neutral court which is way to strong. These two teams should be nearly identical from a power rating perspective, so anything under Celtics -2 is worth playing. Right now, bettors can grab PK at Circa.

Play: Celtics (PK)

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