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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Thursday 11/18


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report Recap for Wednesday, November 17th

It was an insanely low-scoring night on Wednesday with Unders taking the night with a 9-1-1 record. The rate at which these games are going Under is historic, but there is no doubt how great the games have been. Almost every game is tight and tense, and the product, in my mind, is some of the best we have seen. The biggest upset of the night was in New York where the Magic scored an outright win as a + 525 moneyline underdog. Things are not going well at the Mecca it seems.

Market Report for Thursday, November 18th

Only six games tonight, but they are some good ones. 

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

*Washington Wizards at *Miami Heat (-6.5, 210.5)

In yesterday’s column I mentioned how poor Washington’s offense had been against the three worst defenses in the NBA, and that reared its ugly head again last night against Charlotte. The Hornets, which rank 17th in non-garbage time defensive efficiency, held the Wizards to 0.904 points per possession for the game and 0.609 points per possession in a 30-14 third quarter. Washington struggled from distance yet again, going 8-of-42 on 3-point attempts (19.0%) and now they must face Miami. The Heat got Jimmy Butler back last night and suffocated the Pelicans in the second half, limiting them to 0.979 points per possession while posting a + 39.6 net rating. It was Butler’s first game back from an ankle injury, so monitoring the injury reports will be key here as they play with no rest. Kyle Lowry and Bam Adebayo missed the game last night as well, so there is a chance both could sit once again tonight. Washington is on my list of teams to start playing against, but the injury situation for Miami has me off this contest. The betting market seems to agree with my assessment though, as the Heat are up to -7.5 in some shops with the total down about a point.

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