NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Sunday 5/15

By Jonathan Von Tobel  (Senior NBA Analyst) 


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Sunday, May 15th

*Lines are opening numbers

Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics (-5, 209.5)

Game 7: Series tied 3-3

We might need a seventh game to determine a winner here, but for me the Boston Celtics have been the better and more consistent team throughout this series. Boston comes into this winner-take-all contest with a + 4.2 net rating in non-garbage time minutes and a 4-2 ATS record in the series. The Bucks have the worst non-garbage time offensive rating in the conference semifinals (105.5) because of how well the Celtics have played defensively. Meanwhile, Boston seems to have found its stride offensively, averaging 116.4 points per 100 possessions over the last three games while shooting 36.9% from beyond the arc, 16.0% of which have been considered wide-open by the NBA tracking data. Boston has had the upper hand in this series since Game 4, but its execution has been subpar, and Giannis Antetokounmpo has refused to back down.

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