NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Sunday 11/6

By Jonathan Von Tobel  (Senior NBA Analyst) 

November 6, 2022 09:35 AM
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Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, and make sure to subscribe the Hardwood Handicappers podcast!

All game lines via the VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Sunday, November 6th

* Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Bets

Record: 14-13 | Units: +0.29 | ROI: +1.12%

It’s a short card with key injuries in almost every game, so I will not play anything as of now. Check back later to see if this Jazz/Clippers game gets to my buy price of -2.5 on Los Angeles.

Best Games

Cleveland Cavaliers (-3, 223.5) at Los Angeles Lakers

Anthony Davis is listed as questionable, but he told the media on Saturday that he not only planned to play today, but on Monday as well when the Lakers are in Utah. Meanwhile, both Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland are questionable to play due to injuries suffered in the Cavaliers’ win over the Celtics in the middle of the week. Their status looms large over this game, because if both are active this line will likely continue to climb and close perhaps around Cleveland -5 at most shops. Given how much these names could impact the line it’s a fool’s errand to bet this preflop.

Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors (-1.5, 219.5)

This is the front end of a back-to-back set for both teams. They will meet again tomorrow in Chicago, and that means we have interesting scenario for the Bulls. The team has been managing Zach LaVine’s recovery from knee surgery by resting him on back-to-backs, and while it has not been announced yet, he is questionable to play today, and it would make more sense for him to sit out the road tilt and come back for the matchup at home. Toronto has its own injury issues to deal with as well. Pascal Siakam is doubtful with a groin injury and Fred VanVleet is questionable yet again with a back injury. Had the Raptors been at full strength this would be yet another play on them, but I will not be involved tonight.

Washington Wizards at Memphis Grizzlies (-7.5, 226)

Bradley Beal is not going to play tonight for Washington, as he is in health and safety protocols. Had he been available the Wizards might have been a play tonight, but now I will be sitting on the sidelines. I still have my concerns with Memphis’ defense despite its last two performances, but both Portland and Charlotte were dealing with injuries to key offensive pieces. The same is true tonight, obviously. The Grizzlies will host Boston tomorrow on a back-to-back, and barring any injuries to the Celtics, I will take my shot against this team then.

Utah Jazz at Los Angeles Clippers (-4.5, 225)

There was supposed to be hope that Kawhi Leonard could return from injury when Los Angeles came back from its Texas road trip, but he has already been ruled out. The Clippers have turned things around after a rough start to the season and enter this game 3-0 SU/2-1 ATS in its last three games. However, the team barely averaged 106.4 points per 100 possessions against the Rockets (Twice) and Spurs during this win streak, an offensive rating which is hardly impressive. It’s not surprising that we’ve seen this number head to Utah which is 7-2-1 ATS this season, but if it gets to 2.5 that will be my buy price on Los Angeles.

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PRO TOOLS

Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings for every game on the board, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers

PRO TIPS

The Lombardi Line: Pay attention to the offseason moves in baseball, futures prices are changing. As teams build their roster through free agency and trades, monitor the futures markets.View more tips

The Greg Peterson Experience: Fade bad NFL teams on lookahead lines, because they get steamed after another bad performance. View more tips

 

PRO PICKS

Paul Howard: Seahawks Win NFC West +350. View more picks

Gill Alexander: Bengals (-6) vs. Browns. View more picks

 

 

 

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