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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Saturday 5/7

By Jonathan Von Tobel  (Senior NBA Analyst) 


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Saturday, May 7th

*Lines are opening numbers

Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks (-3, 213)

Game 3: Series tied 1-1

The first two games of this series have been somewhat uneventful, as each team has grabbed a comfortable double-digit victory. However, there is one constant through two games that should be focused on as we head into Game 3 today: Milwaukee cannot score. Through two games the Bucks have averaged 100.5 points per 100 possessions in non-garbage time minutes, and that is not the result of one poor showing in Game 2 as they put up just 1.031 per possession in their series opening win. Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 26.0 points through two games, but on 38.4% shooting from the floor and committing 5.5 turnovers per game. Boston’s defense is uniquely equipped to handle a player of Antetokounmpo’s stature with players like Grant Williams and Al Horford, and the rest of the team did a brilliant job on the pieces around the two-time MVP. For yet another series it seems this Celtics defense can muffle the opposition’s best weapon, as much as one can muffle the world’s best basketball player, and it has them in good position here today. Especially with this year’s Defensive Player of the Year in Marcus Smart set to return.

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