NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Saturday 5/21

By Jonathan Von Tobel  (Senior NBA Analyst) 


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Saturday, May 21st

*Lines are opening numbers

Miami Heat at Boston Celtics (-6, 208.5)

Game 3: Series tied 1-1

It is no coincidence that Marcus Smart and Al Horford returned to action and Boston would proceed to roll over Miami on the road. The Celtics are the best team left in the postseason right now, and the gap between them and the “most disrespected top seed in NBA history” was apparent in that game on Thursday night. The Heat have won just one of the eight quarters played in this series, and Ime Udoka’s adjustment early in Game 2 to go small worked wonders for the Celtics. Boston switched nearly everything on defense, putting body after body on Jimmy Butler and limiting him to just 29 points and eight trips to the free throw line. Miami averaged just 1.051 points per possession as a result, turned it over on 17.7% of their offensive possessions and posted an 85.2 offensive rating in halfcourt settings. That defense is going nowhere with everyone still available, and it is only going to get better with Derrick White back today after missing Game 2 to be home for the birth of his son.

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