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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Monday 3/28


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Monday, March 28th

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Bets

San Antonio Spurs (-5.5, 234.5) at Houston Rockets

This might seem like a large number, but San Antonio took care of business on the road in Portland as a 9.5-point favorite last week and they now have extra motivation after the results of last night. The Spurs are just one game back of Los Angeles for the 10th seed in the Western Conference and they own one of the easiest schedules in the league going forward. They must first take care of business here against Houston which is easier said than done. The Rockets have covered four of six and won their last two, both against Portland on the road. Houston showed an ability to take advantage of a poor defense, averaging 121.8 points per 100 possessions against the Trail Blazers in that two-game sweep. It seems the market might be somewhat overzealous in the support of San Antonio here due the potential for this team to make a playoff push. The Rockets were just laying four in Portland to a team the Spurs were laying nine against, but now they’re catching 7.5 at home against San Antonio? That doesn’t jive from a power rating perspective.

Play: Rockets (+ 7.5)

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