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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Monday 2/28


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Monday, February 28th

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Bets

Charlotte Hornets @ Milwaukee Bucks (-10, 241)

The Charlotte Hornets have been a thorn in the paw of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Milwaukee Bucks this season. Charlotte is 2-1 SU/3-0 ATS in the three regular season contests the two clubs have played, outscoring Milwaukee by 2.9 points per 100 possessions. The shocking, and likely unsustainable, aspect of this series so far is the Bucks 107.4 offensive rating against one of the worst defensive teams in the league. However, can Milwaukee be trusted? Since Jan. 1 the Bucks are 12-12 SU/9-15 ATS with a + 2.2 net rating. On Saturday they lost outright to Kyrie Irving and the Brooklyn Nets in another lackluster defensive performance. Their style of defensive play is working against them yet again along the perimeter. Over the course of these 24 games opponents are shooting 36.1% on 39.5 3-point attempts per game, and it has led to these results. Charlotte seems to have broken free of its offensive slump as well, averaging 119.5 points per 100 possessions while shooting 39.4% from deep. The Hornets lost at the gun to Detroit last night, but they match up well enough here that I am willing to take 10 points with the road team.

Play: Hornets (+ 10.5)

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