NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Monday 1/3

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Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Monday, January 3rd

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Houston Rockets at Philadelphia 76ers (-13, 220.5)

Philadelphia has not played since last year, so the long layoff could be a factor tonight against Houston. In all seriousness, the role of the favorite has not treated the 76ers well recently. Since Joel Embiid’s nine-game absence Philadelphia is 1-9 ATS as a favorite, laying on average 6.75 points in those contests. It’s very clear the market has not really adjusted its perception of the 76ers, and that is to be expected after a big win over Brooklyn and the opponent tonight. Since that surprising 8-2 SU/8-1-1 ATS run at the end of November the Rockets are 1-8 SU and ATS with a league-worst -11.7 net rating. The problem has been their defense which is allowing 123.2 points per 100 possessions and the 76ers could be rounding into form on that end of the floor. While Philadelphia has a 108.3 offensive rating in its last 15 games the last three have been much better with a 120.1 offensive efficiency mark. Matisse Thybulle could also be back from COVID protocol, making this an even more favorable situation for Philadelphia. Three games is hardly a large enough sample size to trust what we’ve seen from the 76ers offense, but this number is understandable given everything we know about these two teams right now.

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