NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Monday 12/6


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Monday, December 6th

As usual we get a solid Monday card with a ton of depth. Monday Night Football and the NBA, is there a better night during the week? 

A quick note before we dive into the card: If you’re in a state that offers WynnBet and bets the NBA daily I would highly recommend opening an account. WynnBet and DraftKings have been making efforts to be first to market overnight with these NBA lines and it gives people like us some tremendous opportunities. You will see in the column today the opening lines that 3.5+  points off market. These openers were hung by WynnBet yesterday, and if you attack them early you can find yourself with some tremendous CLV and middle opportunities by the time we arrive at tip-off.

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Philadelphia 76ers (-3.5, 219) at *Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte grabbed a fantastic win on Sunday over Atlanta, but COVID ravaged this roster. LaMelo Ball, Terry Rozier, Jalen McDaniels and Mason Plumlee are all out for the next week as they deal with the virus, and as a result the power rating has shifted quite a bit on the Hornets. They were catching eight last night against the Hawks, and tonight they are + 7 at home against a 76ers team has covered it last two, albeit as underdogs. This is quite the role reversal for a team still trying to find its footing on offense with everyone back on the floor. Since Joel Embiid’s return from injury the 76ers are putting up just 101.8 points per 100 possessions, an offensive rating that is 28th in the NBA over that four-game span. Embiid has not looked entirely comfortable either, shooting 36.7% from the floor in the four games since his return. Having said that, the 76ers do look much better defensively. In these four games they’re allowing 1.0 point per possession and their last three opponents have failed to break 100 points. There is certainly a possibility they limit Charlotte like they have their previous foes, but Sunday showed us that despite the absences this Hornets team still has plenty to work with. Given that, and the recent offensive struggles of Philadelphia, it is hard to swallow these many points on the road.

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