NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Monday 11/29


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Monday, November 29th

After a wild weekend of football we get a quality NBA card tonight. Let's get started.

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Orlando Magic at Philadelphia 76ers (-16, 208.5)

Joel Embiid, Tobias Harris and Danny Green were all back in action on Saturday, but the result was a double-overtime loss to Minnesota. Their offense looked somewhat disjointed and they managed just 1.081 points per possession. When impact player return to the court after long absences the betting market tends to overreact, assuming they slot right in and their impact will be the same. We saw a glimpse that this weekend, as the 76ers closed -7 in a game it lost outright. Bettors are seeing a similar phenomenon here with Philadelphia opening as high as -16 at one shop. The number is down to -15 at most shops and that is the correct adjustment. Orlando is still without Cole Anthony, and Mo Bamba is questionable, but Embiid has played one game since Nov. 27 and while his individual performance this weekend was great (42 points, 14 rebounds) it’s clear the team has to find some continuity playing together on offense for them to be worth laying this many points.

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