NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Monday 1/10


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Monday, January 10th

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Utah Jazz (-11, 224) @ Detroit Pistons

Utah has four players in COVID protocol that will miss this game, and among them is Rudy Gobert whose absence has been felt over the last three games. The Jazz are 1-2 SU and ATS without Gobert with those three opponents averaging 119.5 points per 100 possessions while shooting 73.1% at the rim and 30.0% on non-corner 3-pointers. It should be assumed that this defense will struggle once more without Gobert on the floor, but can Detroit take advantage? The Pistons offense is abysmal, putting up 100.8 points per 100 possessions in non-garbage time minutes on the season, and one of their most efficient scorers in Frank Jackson will miss this game. On the surface it seems like the side might be Detroit to stay inside a big number against a short-handed favorite, but the betting market has moved toward the Jazz which is not surprising. Utah is still averaging 113.9 points per 100 possessions without Gobert, and their backcourt of Donovan Mitchell and Mike Conley. This is likely why we’ve seen this total get bumped up to 224.5 at most shops. If you believe the Pistons are going to be competitive here then following the market on the total might be the better route to take.

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