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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Friday 5/6

By Jonathan Von Tobel  (Senior NBA Analyst) 


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Friday, May 6th

*Lines are opening numbers

Miami Heat at Philadelphia 76ers (-1, 210.5)

Game 3: Heat lead 2-0

As of this morning Joel Embiid is still listed as out on the injury report with no upgrade to doubtful which tells us the potential MVP is going to likely miss this game. His potential return for this contest is why we saw this line open in favor of Philadelphia, but now that we know he is not going to play the market has flipped to Miami -3 at every shop on the screen. That spread is in line with the opening line of Game 2 when you use three points for homecourt which the betting market has in the postseason. There has not been much movement here outside of that adjustment, and that might have to do with a lengthy injury report for Miami. The Heat have six players listed as questionable for this contest in Philadelphia, and each of them are impact players, but most have been on the injury report prior to the first two games of this series and are not in any real danger of missing this contest. If that is the case then the result of this game depends on Philadelphia showing up for four quarters.

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