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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Friday 4/8


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Friday, April 8th

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Games

Cleveland Cavaliers at Brooklyn Nets (-8.5, 228.5)

Of all the games played tonight, this is the one that carries the most weight. Cleveland sits seventh in the Eastern Conference with homecourt throughout the play-in tournament, and Brooklyn trails by just a game. A win for the Cavaliers would give them a stranglehold on the seventh seed with a game left, and a Nets victory would give them a 3-1 record against Cleveland with control of the top play-in seed. The Cavaliers could be getting some reinforcements tonight as well, with Evan Mobley listed as questionable to play after missing the last five games. However, Mobley might not be the positive addition that most think he will be. With Mobley back on the floor he slots back in at center, and those lineups have not been as effective for Cleveland. The Cavaliers give up 113.7 points per 100 possessions and opponents shoot 38.5% from beyond the arc in those lineups, as Mobley is stuck down low with the duties of a five and unable to contest 3-point attempts. The betting market has not adjusted the power rating for this team well enough, and that fact is represented by Cleveland’s 4-10-1 ATS record since losing Jarrett Allen to injury. Brooklyn will have the ability to exploit the Cavaliers’ poor perimeter defense tonight, and while the Nets have been an atrocious 4-25-1 ATS as a home favorite this season the number is now back up to 8.5 which is a move I agree with.

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