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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Friday 3/18


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Friday, March 18th

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Best Games

Memphis Grizzlies (-3, 237.5) at Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta comes into this contest 0-7 ATS in its last seven games, and 1-8 ATS in its last nine. During this seven-game slide the Hawks have been outscored by 0.5 points per 100 possessions despite having an offensive rating of 118.0 because their defense has been so poor. So why bet them tonight? Because the market has over-adjusted. Atlanta closed as the favorite in six of those seven games, laying on average a whopping 7.75 points per game! In the one game they closed as an underdog, at Milwaukee, they closed + 4.5 which indicated just a 2.5-point difference between them and the Bucks on a neutral. It seems that the market has now swung extremely far in the other direction, opening Memphis -3 and pushing it to -6 at most shops, but there are injuries to monitor. Trae Young and Danilo Gallinari are questionable to play, and with a nice 4.5-game lead over Washington who is 11th in the Eastern Conference it would not be shocking if Nate McMillan gave Young a night off. If he does play, the Hawks will make my card tonight.

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