NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Friday 1/14


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report for Thursday, January 13th

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Orlando Magic at Charlotte Hornets (-10.5, 225)

Charlotte is riding high, coming into this contest on a four-game winning streak that includes two victories over Milwaukee and another over Philadelphia which snapped a 16-game losing streak to the franchise. Since Dec. 1 the Hornets are 15-4 ATS with the fourth-best offense in the league in non-garbage time (115.1). It might seem like this team is firing on all cylinders, but there are some incredible flaws under the surface of this 19-game run. The team is just 10-9 SU over those 19 games and they’ve actually been outscored by 0.4 points per 100 possessions because their defensive rating of 115.5 over that same stretch is sixth-worst in the league. Charlotte also closed as an underdog in 16 of those 19 contests, meaning a situation like this, laying double digits, is a rarity for the Hornets. To be fair, last Wednesday was one of those few times the Hornets closed as a favorite and the team easily covered 10.5 in a blowout of the Detroit Pistons.

Charlotte can blow out bad teams, and we have another one here in Orlando. The Magic have been plucky lately though. They are 7-5 ATS in their last 12 game and much of that is due to a defense that has been playing at an average level, allowing 111.7 points per 100 possessions. Charlotte has delivered this season in the role of favorite, going 8-2 SU/7-2-1 ATS in 10 games, and the offense is playing extremely well. After getting burned by Detroit last week it will keep me away from Orlando here, but I do show some value in backing the underdog tonight, especially after such a massive win for the Hornets.

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