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NBA betting market report: Daily picks, advice for Friday 11/19


Welcome to the daily NBA betting market report, your source for analysis on the betting lines for the day in professional hoops. For updates throughout the day follow me on Twitter, or check out The Edge daily at 4 p.m. ET / 1 p.m. PT.

All game lines via VSiN NBA Odds page.

Market Report Recap for Thursday, November 18th

It was a somewhat quiet night in the NBA yesterday, but the story is Golden State yet again. The Warriors entered the fourth quarter against the Cavaliers down 81-68 but Steph Curry dropped 20 of his 40 points and Golden State limited Cleveland to eight points and got the win and cover. The victory improved the Warriors’ record to 13-2 SU/11-4 ATS, both records the best in the NBA.

Market Report for Friday, November 19th

It is a heart nine-game slate tonight with a ton of intriguing matchups so let’s get into it.

*Indicates team is on the second leg of a back-to-back

**Lines are opening numbers

Indiana Pacers at Charlotte Hornets (-3, 219)

Indiana has dropped its last two games both SU and ATS, and its offense has been the biggest culprit. Against both the Knicks and Pistons the Pacers managed less than a point per possession and fewer than 90 points while shooting 23.6% from deep across both games. This lull in offense has coincided with the loss of Chris Duarte to injury, and he remains questionable and without an official timetable for a return. However, it is certainly plausible this offense can take advantage of a Hornets defense giving up 109.4 points per 100 possessions. Charlotte ranks 23rd in opponent frequency of attempts and 25th in opponent rim shooting (67.1%) this season, which could be a problem against a team in Indiana that takes 32.5% of its attempts at the rim and ranks 10th in shooting within four feet (65.7%). The Hornets have their own offensive advantage as well though, and its worth more: Shooting. Charlotte not only shoots 37.6% from the perimeter, better than Indiana’s 34.9% mark, they are facing a perimeter defense that has allowed opponents to take 40.4% of their attempts from deep and shoot 36.2%. There’s been a strong push this morning toward Indiana and some shops got to Hornets -1.5 which indicates some respected support for Indiana. I tend to agree with the line move here. Charlotte was just home against Washington in a game that closed PK but opened -3.5 over Indiana. It seemed like quite the swing against a similarly power rated team in the Pacers.

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