Multitasking: 1 NFL, 1 MLB bet


It was a great week for football fans and an even better week for Under bettors as the NFL returned with a full slate of preseason games, most of which stayed Under the total. We know those tall buildings in Sin City weren’t built by people winning money from the books, so be careful of jumping on the trend a week too late. If anything, if I were to blindly bet a total on each game this week, I would bet Over, as I expect the books to adjust — and perhaps overadjust, creating some value the other way. Once a trend becomes clear, especially when it’s highly publicized, I often look to buck that trend. Keep an eye out for low totals as we head to Week 2 of the preseason, and let’s find some winners ...

Detroit Lions (+ 6.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers 

With low-scoring games, we generally see closer games. Ten of the 16 NFL preseason contests last week were one-score games, and the biggest dogs on the board were the Bengals, who were getting 6 but won outright at Tampa Bay. At a similar price this week, the Lions face a Steelers team that already has two preseason wins, so perhaps Pittsburgh’s motivation is curbed a bit. Also, the Steelers are a veteran team used to winning with a coach who’s secure in his position. The Lions, on the other hand, are 0-1 under the highly caffeinated stewardship of Dan Campbell and are looking to reverse a losing culture. The reason I’m betting this is simple: This is too many points for all the randomness that accompanies a preseason game. Lions + 6.5 (might as well wait for a 7) and a little sprinkle on the moneyline are plays for me.

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