Monday night recap: Chiefs fail to cover in wild comeback win vs. Raiders

By Dave Tuley  ( senior reporter) 


The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Las Vegas Raiders 30-29 on Monday Night Football, but didn’t cover as 7-point home favorites. The game went Over the closing betting total of 51.5 points. 

That’s the short story and doesn’t begin to describe a wild game that had several interesting sub-plots from the Raiders jumping out to a 17-0 lead, a controversial roughing-the-passer call that ignited the rabid crowd at Arrowhead Stadium and the Twitterverse, plus a questionable decision by Chiefs coach Andy Reid to go for a 2-point conversion when leading by 30-23.

Ultimately, the game ended up coming down to Raiders coach Josh McDaniels deciding to go for 2 and the lead when they pulled within 30-29, but RB Josh Jacobs was stopped just short of the goal line.

The 1-point margin of victory caused a ton of very popular 2-team, 6-point teasers on the Chiefs to be refunds (as bettors took them down from -7 to -1). “Vegas rules” call for “no-action” if one side of a 2-team, 6-point teaser ends in a push (check your own book for their specific house rules).

The “favorite win SU/underdog cover ATS” result happened for the 5th time in NFL Week 5 (Bears closing + 8.5 at Vikings in 29-22 loss, Falcons + 10 at Buccaneers in 21-15 loss, Cardinals + 5 vs. the Eagles in 20-17 loss and Bengals + 3 at Ravens in 19-17 loss were the others).

Overall, faves went 10-5 SU in Week 5 with 1 pick-’em (Titans-Commanders), but dogs led 10-5 ATS. Home teams went 8-7 SU with 1 neutral-site game (Giants-Packers in London), but road teams led 10-5 ATS. Unders led 9-7.

On the season, faves now lead 46-31-1 SU with 2 pick-'ems (WAS-DET in Week 2, TEN-WAS in Week 5), but dogs lead 45-30-3 ATS (60 percent). Home teams lead 41-36-1 SU with 2 neutral-site games (MIN-NO in Week 4, NYG-GB in Week 5), but road teams lead 40-35-3 ATS (53.3 percent). Unders lead 46-33-1 (58.2 percent), while primetime Unders lead 11-5 (68.8 percent).


back to news


Betting Splits: Percentage of handle & tickets from DraftKings for every game on the board, updated every 10 minutes. GO HERE.

NFL Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

CFB Power Ratings3 sets of numbers from Steve MakinenGO HERE.

View more CFB tools for Pro subscribers

View more NFL tools for Pro subscribers


The Lombardi Line: Pay attention to the offseason moves in baseball, futures prices are changing. As teams build their roster through free agency and trades, monitor the futures markets.View more tips

The Greg Peterson Experience: Fade bad NFL teams on lookahead lines, because they get steamed after another bad performance. View more tips



Paul Howard: Seahawks Win NFC West +350. View more picks

Gill Alexander: Bengals (-6) vs. Browns. View more picks




Subscriber Only News  Vsin Exclusive

View All