Monday Night Football Sharp Report

49ers

 

NFL underdogs continued to grind out a profit on Sunday, going 7-5 ATS. Dogs are now 85-52 ATS (57.8%) on the season. Road dogs went 5-3 ATS to improve to 56-33 ATS (62.9%) on the season. Road dogs  7 or less went 4-2 ATS to improve to 47-17 ATS (73.4%). 

Unders also went 7-5 on Sunday, improving to 83-65 (56.1%) on the season. Non-conference unders went 3-1 to improve to 31-17 (64.6%). Windy unders 10 MPH or more also went 3-1 to improve to 31-15 (67.4%). 

Now it's on to Monday where we have Monday Night Football along with 11 NBA games, 2 NHL games and 40 College Basketball games to choose from. For an updated breakdown of Monday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET and then co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for the final game of NFL Week 10...

 

8:15 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers

These NFC West rivals are both looking to rebound from Week 9 losses. The Rams (7-2 SU, 4-5 ATS) just fell to the Titans 28-16, losing outright as 7-point home favorites. The loss snapped a four-game winning streak for Los Angeles. Meanwhile, the 49ers (3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS) are just 1-5 over their last six games, including a 31-17 loss to the Cardinals last week, losing outright as 5.5-point home favorites. 

This line opened with the Rams listed as a 4.5-point road favorite. The public is rushing to the window to lay the points with Los Angeles, expecting an easy bounce-back win and cover after a tough loss. However, despite this lopsided betting we've seen Los Angeles fall from -4.5 to -3.5. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the home dog. San Francisco has value as a contrarian home divisional dog in a heavily bet game. Kyle Shanahan is 23-17 ATS (57.5%) as a dog. Jimmy Garoppolo is 11-4 ATS (73.3%) as a dog.  Conference dogs  7 or less are 46-26 ATS (63.9%). Primetime dogs are 20-9 ATS (69%). 

We've also seen some over money show up, raising the total from 49.5 to 50.5. Primetime overs are 15-13 ATS (54%) on the season. Both teams have been profitable to the over, with Los Angeles 5-3-1 and San Francisco 5-3.

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