Monday Night Football Sharp Action Report for Bears-Rams

October 26, 2020 12:41 AM

Underdog bettors feasted on Sunday, going 7-4 ATS with four outright wins. Washington closed at a pick'em and covered a sharp line move (+ 3 to pick'em), crushing the Cowboys 25-3. The Jets (+ 9.5) were one of the seven dog covers. New York lost 18-10 to the Bills but finally covered the spread for the first time this season. The Cowboys are now the only team remaining in the NFL to not cover a spread (0-7 ATS).

Here are the 4 outright dog winners

  • Lions (+ 1) beat Falcons 23-22
  • Steelers (+ 1) beat Titans 27-24
  • 49ers (+ 3) beat Patriots 33-6
  • Cardinals (+ 3.5) beat Seahawks 37-34

The Lions cashed a sharp road dog line move (+ 3 to + 1). The Steelers beat the sharps and cashed for the public. Pros were all over Tennessee (+ 1.5 to -1) but got it wrong. The 49ers were a line freeze at + 3, but showed liability at -2 or -2.5 earlier in the week. The Cardinals came up huge for dog bettors on Sunday Night Football. Arizona was a divisional dog, contrarian in a heavily bet game and had a sharp line freeze (+ 3.5).

Here are the 3 other dog covers

  • Jets (+ 9.5) lost to Bills 18-10
  • Panthers (+ 7) lost to Saints 27-24
  • Bengals (+ 4.5) lost to Browns 37-34

Road teams are now 58-46 ATS (56%) this season. Road dogs with a line move in their favor (think Lions + 3 to + 1) are now 33-18 ATS (65%). Short road dogs + 6 or less are now 27-12 ATS (69%).

Here are the 4 favorite covers

  • Packers (-3) beat Texans 35-20
  • Bucs (-4) beat Raiders 45-20
  • Chiefs (-7) beat Broncos 43-16
  • Chargers (-7.5) beat Jags 39-29

The Packers, Bucs and Chiefs were all popular chalk plays and all three came through, much to the chagrin of sportsbooks.

Overs went 6-5-1 on Sunday. The Steelers-Titans game pushed at 51.

Today a new week begins with Monday Night Football followed by Game 6 of the World Series on Tuesday. For an updated breakdown of Monday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at noon ET. I'll also be joining Michael Lombardi and Patrick Meagher on The Lombardi Line at 12:25 p.m ET to offer a market update.

In the meantime, let's examine how lines are moving for MNF tonight.

8:15 p.m. ET: Chicago Bears (5-1) at Los Angeles Rams (4-2)

This Monday Night Football showdown features two NFC playoff hopefuls trending in opposite directions. The Bears (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) are riding a two-game winning streak and just took down the Panthers 23-16, winning outright as 2-point road dogs. Meanwhile, the Rams (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) saw their two-game winning streak snapped last week when they fell to the 49ers 24-16, losing straight up as 2.5-point road favorites.

This line opened with the Rams listed as a 7-point home favorite. Other books opened at Los Angeles -5.5. Tickets are split down the middle and the public doesn't know who to back. But we've seen this line even out to Rams -6. The Bears side is being juiced up + 6 at -115, signaling some Chicago liability and a possible next move down to 5.5. Chicago has value a short road dog + 6 or less (69% ATS this season). Bill Vinochich is the lead official. He has historically favored road teams (56.3% ATS). Dogs are 15-6 ATS (71%) in primetime this season.

We've also seen some respected money hit this under, dropping the total from 47 to 44.5. Both of these teams are 4-2 to the under this season. Primetime unders are 15-6 (71%) this season.

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