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Monday NBA Sharp Report (5-31)

May 31, 2021 04:34 AM

Happy Memorial Day! Today a new week begins with a smaller than usual slate featuring 14 MLB games, 2 NBA playoff games and 2 NHL playoff games. For an updated breakdown of Monday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted at 1 p.m. ET. I'll also be joining Michael Lombardi and Patrick Meagher on The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update.

In the meantime, let's discuss where the money is flowing for tonight's two NBA playoff games...

7 p.m. ET: Philadelphia 76ers at Washington Wizards

This is Game 4 of the Eastern Conference first round. The 76ers lead the series 3-0 and look to sweep the Wizards and punch their ticket to round two with a victory tonight. After winning the opener 125-118 but failing to cover as 8-point favorites, Philadelphia has covered as a favorite the last two games. The 76ers won Game 2 by a score of 120-95, covering as 8.5-point favorites and then blew out the Wizards 132-103, covering as 5-point favorites. Tonight's Game 4 line opened with Philadelphia listed as a 7.5-point road favorite. The public is hammering the 76ers expecting another easy blowout win and cover. Respected money seems to agree as we've seen the 76ers rise from -7.5 to -8. Playoff favorites are 23-13 ATS (64%) this postseason. Road favorites are 8-1 ATS (89%). Pros have also targeted this under. Despite a majority of bets taking the over, the total has fallen from 230.5 to 229.5. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the under.

9:30 p.m. ET: Utah Jazz at Memphis Grizzlies

This is Game 4 of the Western Conference first round. The Jazz lead the series 2-1. Utah dropped the opener 112-109 but has since won two straight, winning and covering both times (141-129 as 10-point favorites and 121-111 as 5.5-point favorites). In tonight's Game 4, the Jazz opened as 5.5-point road favorites. The public is rushing to the window to lay the points with Utah, yet we've seen this line fall from 5.5 to 5. This signals some wiseguy money grabbing the points with the home dog Grizzlies, forcing the oddsmakers to adjust the line slightly in their favor. Sharps are also banking on a higher-scoring game. The total opened at 223.5 to 224.5, signaling respected money on the over. The over is 3-0 this series, with final combined scores of 221, 270 and 232. Leading the series 2-1, the Jazz are -2500 favorites to advance to round two. The Grizzlies are 1100 longshots to come back and win the series.


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