Monday MLB Sharp Report

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For an updated breakdown of Monday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET. I'll be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update and then I'll be co-hosting Betting Across America with Ben Wilson from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss several MLB games receiving sharp action today...

 

1:10 p.m. ET: Miami Marlins (29-35) at New York Mets (44-24)

The Mets lead this NL East series 2-1. New York won the opener 10-4 as -145 home favorites and then won again on Saturday 3-2 as -180 home favorites. Miami bounced back on Sunday with a 6-2 win, cashing as +125 road dogs. In this early afternoon series finale, the Marlins hand the ball to lefty Trevor Rogers (3-5, 5.87 ERA) and the Mets counter with fellow southpaw David Peterson (3-1, 3.60 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a -145 home favorite and Miami a  130 road dog. Pros have gotten down hard on the Mets, steaming New York up from -145 to -165. The Mets have value as a favorite in a low total game (8). New York is 33-14 as a favorite, 23-10 at home and 14-10 against leftys. The Marlins are 12-24 as a dog, 14-21 on the road and 8-6 against leftys. New York's biggest advantage comes at the plate, where the Mets are hitting .261 compared to the Marlins' .242. 

 

7:10 p.m. ET: New York Yankees (49-17) at Tampa Bay Rays (36-20)

The Yankees just took two of three at the Jays, although New York lost 10-9 as -160 favorites on Sunday to snap their 9-game win streak. On the flip side, the struggling Rays just lost two of three at the Orioles, dropping to just 2-7 over their last nine games. In tonight's AL East series opener, New York hands the ball to ace righty Gerrit Cole (6-1, 3.33 ERA) and Tampa Bays sends out ace lefty Shane McClanahan (7-3, 1.84 ERA). This line opened with the Yankees listed as a short -120 road favorite and the Rays a +110 home dog. Pros have pounced on the rare opportunity to get the best team in baseball at such a short chalk price, steaming the Yankees up from -120 to -130. Road favorites are 233-140 (63%) this season. Favorites off a loss who made the playoffs last season are 132-66 (67%). New York is 45-16 as a favorite, 20-10 on the road and 15-6 against leftys. The Yankees are hitting .249 while the Rays sit at .233. New York is 5-2 against Tampa Bay this season. 

 

7:10 p.m. ET: Detroit Tigers (26-40) at Boston Red Sox (36-31)

The Tigers just split a four-game series with the Rangers at home, winning the final two games on Saturday and Sunday to snap a six-game losing skid. Meanwhile, the Red Sox just took two of three at home against the Cardinals to improve to 13-4 over their last 17 games. In tonight's series opener, Detroit hands the ball to righty Alex Faedo (1-3, 4.28 ERA) and Boston rebuttals with fellow righty Josh Winckowski (1-1, 4.50 ERA). This line opened with the Red Sox listed as a -165 home favorite and the Tigers a +150 road dog. Pros aren't scared off by the expensive chalk and have pounded Boston from -165 to -180. Favorites who made the playoffs last season against teams who did not are 271-147 (65%) this season. Boston is 22-14 as a favorite and 17-16 at home. Detroit is 19-31 as a dog and 8-18 on the road. The Red Sox are hitting .258 while the Tigers are hitting only .224. 

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