Monday MLB Sharp Report

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For an updated breakdown of Monday's betting action, be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET. I will also be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET and then co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.

In the meantime, let's discuss a trio of MLB games receiving sharp action today...

 

7:05 p.m. ET: Atlanta Braves (58-39) at Philadelphia Phillies (49-46)

These NL East rivals are trending in opposite directions. The Braves just took two out of three at home against the Angels. Meanwhile, the Phillies just got swept at home by the Cubs. In tonight's series opener, Atlanta hands the ball to lefty Max Fried (10-3, 2.64 ERA) and Philadelphia counters with fellow southpaw Ranger Suarez (7-5, 4.07 ERA). This line opened with the Braves listed as a -155 road favorite and the Phillies a +140 home dog. Pros are riding the hot hand, steaming Atlanta up from -155 to -170. Road favorites are 320-202 (61%) this season. Favorites who made the playoffs the previous season against teams who did not are 367-199 (65%). Atlanta is 50-24 as a favorite and 24-10 against lefties. The Braves are 10-1 in Fried's last 11 starts. 

 

7:05 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Rays (52-43) at Baltimore Orioles (47-48)

Both of these AL East foes are looking to rebound from post All-Star Break series losses. The Rays just dropped two of three on the road at Kansas City while the Orioles lost two of three at home against the Yankees. In tonight's series opener, Tampa Bay rolls out veteran righty Corey Kluber (6-5, 3.73 ERA) and Baltimore starts righty Austin Voth (1-1, 3.42 ERA). This line opened with the Rays listed as a -145 road favorite and the Orioles a +130 home dog. Wiseguys have grabbed the plus money with the home dog, dropping Baltimore from +130 to +115. The Orioles have value as a divisional dog and a dog in a high total game (9). Kluber has a 4.71 ERA in four July starts. Voth has a 3.86 ERA in three July starts. The Orioles are 6-1 in Voth's last seven starts. 

 

7:10 p.m. ET: San Diego Padres (54-43) at Detroit Tigers (38-58)

The Padres just took two out of three on the road against the Mets while the Tigers just got swept in a two-game series at home against the Twins. In tonight's Interleague series opener, San Diego starts lefty Sean Manaea (5-4, 4.11 ERA) and Detroit taps righty Drew Hutchinson (1-4, 4.46 ERA). This line opened with the Padres listed as a -150 road favorite and the Tigers a +135 road dog. Sharps have laid the chalk with the Padres, steaming Detroit up from -150 to -165. Non-division road favorite are 166-101 (62%) this season. San Diego also has value as a favorite in a low total game (8). The Padres hold the edge at the plate (hitting .240 vs .228) and on the mound (3.71 ERA vs 4.12). 

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