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Monday MLB Sharp Report

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Today a new week of betting begins. For an updated breakdown of Monday's action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 3 p.m. ET. I'll also be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET to offer a market update and then co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET. 

In the meantime, let's dive into a trio of MLB games receiving sharp action today...

 

3:05 p.m. ET: Milwaukee Brewers (1-2) at Baltimore Orioles (0-3)

The Brewers just picked up their first win of the season on Sunday, taking down the Cubs 5-4 as -130 road favorites. The win snapped a two-game losing skid to start the season. Meanwhile, the Orioles just got swept by the Rays, including an 8-0 loss to Tampa Bay on Sunday as +155 road dogs. In this afternoon's Interleague Series opener, Milwaukee taps righty Adrian Houser (10-6, 3.22 ERA in 2021) while Baltimore sends out lefty Bruce Zimmerman (4-5, 5.04 ERA). This line opened with Milwaukee listed as a -145 road favorite and Baltimore a +135 home dog. Wiseguys have laid the chalk with Milwaukee, steaming the Brewers up from -145 to -160. Milwaukee has value as a non-conference favorite with a line move in their favor. Some books opened with a total of 8.5 and got bet up to 9, signaling some over support. The forecast calls for low 60s with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left center. 

 

5:10 p.m. ET: Boston Red Sox (1-2) at Detroit Tigers (1-2)

The Red Sox are coming off a 4-3 win over the Yankees on Sunday, avoiding a series sweep and cashing as +125 road dogs. Meanwhile, the Tigers won their season opener against the White Sox but have since dropped two straight. Detroit just got crushed by the White Sox 10-1 on Sunday, losing as  120 home dogs. In tonight's early evening series debut, Boston hands the ball to righty Michael Wacha (3-5, 5.05 ERA in 2021) and Detroit counters with fellow righty Matt Manning (4-7, 5.80 ERA). This line opened with the Red Sox listed as a -115 road favorite and the Tigers a +105 home dog. Pros have gotten down on Boston, steaming the Red Sox up from -115 to -120. We could also be looking at a lower scoring game in this one. The total is 9.5 with the under juiced to -115, signaling under liability and a possible fall down to 9. The forecast calls for low 60s with 10 MPH winds blowing in from right to left. 

 

6:40 p.m. ET: Oakland Athletics (1-2) at Tampa Bay Rays (3-0)

Oakland just picked up their first win of the season yesterday, beating Philadelphia 4-1 as juicy 195 road dogs. On the flip side, the Rays just swept the lowly Orioles, finishing off the series with an 8-0 win as -185 home favorites on Sunday. In tonight's series opener, the Athletics hand the ball to righty Paul Blackburn (1-4, 5.87 ERA) while the Rays turn to fellow righty Luis Patino (5-3, 4.31 ERA). This line opened with Tampa Bay listed as a -200 home favorite and Oakland a +175 road dog. Pros are laying the chalk with the red-hot Rays, steaming Tampa Bay up from -200 to -220. Non-division home favorites are 505-319 (62%) dating back to last season. This total is 8.5 with the under juiced to -120, signaling some sharp under money and a possible fall down to 8. Historically, domes and closed roof stadiums have provided a boost to unders due to the perfect pitching conditions and the ball doesn't travel as well indoors. 

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