Monday College Basketball Sharp Report

baylor
Today a new week begins with 6 NBA games, 3 NHL games and a full College Basketball card to choose from. For an updated breakdown of Monday's betting action, be sure to tune in to the VSiN Market Insights Podcast with Josh Appelbaum. It will be posted by 2:40 p.m. ET. I'll also be joining The Lombardi Line at 1:30 p.m. ET and then co-hosting Betting Across America with Mike Pritchard from 3 to 4 p.m. ET.
 
In the meantime, let's discuss several College Basketball games receiving sharp action tonight...
 
 
7 p.m. ET: Charleston at Hofstra
 
This CAA grudge match may not be garnering much public attention. But wiseguys have taken notice. Charleston (16-13 SU, 15-13-1 ATS) is coming off a 80-79 loss to Drexel in which they covered as 3-point road dogs. On the flip side, Hofstra (20-10 SU, 15-13 ATS) is 7-1 over their last eight games and just beat William & Mary 83-67, failing to cover as 18-point home favorites. This line opened with Hofstra listed as a 5-point home favorite. Sharps have laid the points with Hofstra, pushing the line up from 5 to 5.5. Hofstra holds the edge defensively (72 PPG allowed by 77 PPG allowed) and in the shooting department (47% vs 44%). Hofstra is 11-2 at home this season. Ken Pom has Hofstra winning by six points (83-77). Hofstra beat Charleston 76-73 back on January 27th. 
 
 
9 p.m. ET: Baylor at Texas
 
This late night showdown features a pair of ranked teams fighting for supremacy atop the Big 12 conference standings. Baylor (24-5 SU, 15-13-1 ATS) is ranked 10th, has won three straight and just took down Kansas 80-70, covering as 3-point home favorites. Similarly, Texas (21-8 SU, 12-16-1 ATS) is ranked 20th, has won two straight and just edged West Virginia 82-81, failing to cover as 3.5-point road favorites. This game opened at a pick'em. Respected money has sided with Baylor, pushing the Bears from a pick'em to a 1.5-point road favorite. Baylor holds the edge on offense (77 PPG vs 69 PPG), shooting (47% vs 45%) and rebounding (37 RPG vs 33 RPG). Ken Pom has Baylor winning by one point (68-67). Baylor is -120 on the moneyline. When two ranked teams face off, the favorite is 43-30 ATS (59%) this season. These teams met up on February 12th and Baylor won 80-63. 
 
 
9 p.m. ET: San Diego State at Wyoming
 
Two of the best teams in the Mountain West go head-to-head in this heavyweight clash. San Diego State (18-7 SU, 14-11 ATS) is 6-1 over their last seven games and just crushed San Jose State 77-52, covering as 21-point home favorites. Similarly, Wyoming (23-5 SU, 16-9-2 ATS) is 8-2 over their last ten and just edged Nevada 74-61, covering as 7-point home favorites. This line opened with San Diego State listed as a short 2-point road favorite. We've seen this line dip slightly from 2 to 1.5, signaling respected money grabbing the points with the home dog. Wyoming holds the edge on offense (75 PPG vs 66 PPG) and in shooting (47% vs 44%). Wyoming is a perfect 13-0 at home this season. San Diego State is 3-5 on the road. This qualifies as a Ken Pom "sound the alarm" play. Ken Pom has Wyoming winning the game by one point (64-63), which provides actionable value on Wyoming at a dog price. 
 
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