YRFI and NRFI MLB Best Bets for Sunday, September 24

By Jared Smith  (VSiN.com) 

September 24, 2023 10:58 AM

Best Bets on Today's MLB YRFI and NRFI Markets

Best Bets on Today's MLB YRFI and NRFI Markets 

Saturday’s best bet was a winner as both games went scoreless in the first inning. It was a rare day this season when this column produced minimal sweat. Perhaps it was just a good day, or perhaps this under 1.5 parlay strategy is something that deserves our attention long term. I hope it’s the latter, but I won’t know for sure until next season as there is not enough sample left for us to make any meaningful conclusions. Onward we go.

Keep reading to find out my best bet for Sunday, September 24th which was priced at -149 on DraftKings at the time of publication. I recommend two units.

Best Bets Season Record: 60-61 (49.6%) -17.72u -6.6% ROI


Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox

Mike Clevinger is 16-6 to the NRFI this season with decent data across the board. In four starts this month he’s allowing just a 3.81 ERA and has not issued a walk. Clevinger has also done a good job limiting his long balls this season allowing just 1.02 HR/9, down from a rate of 1.57 last year. 

Kutter Crawford is 17-4 to the NRFI this season and 9-1 at home. His recent form has been stellar with a .189 average against and 1.19 WHIP over his last three starts. 

Besides the pitching matchup, the most important element in this game is the elements as the remnants of Tropical Storm Ophelia are still being felt in the northeast. Just like yesterday, winds are expected to be blowing in from centerfield with cool conditions. In other words, less than ideal hitting weather. 

Parlay Leg #1: Under 1.5 1st inning (-300)


Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins

Freddy Peralta is 22-7 to the NRFI this season. His recent form has been outstanding with a .143 average against and 0.55 WHIP this month, the lowest marks of any starting pitcher on the board today. He draws a Marlins lineup that has been better over the back half of the season, but their struggles have been well documented in this column and overall, they have just a subpar 24% scoring rate in the first inning.

Edward Cabrera is 15-3 to the NRFI this season. The walks are always a concern, but his stuff is elite with a 10.9 K/9 rate over his last three starts. The Brewers lineup has been slightly above average this season with a 31% overall scoring rate in the first inning. However, Milwaukee has scored just once during their current six-game road trip. 

Parlay Leg #2: Under 1.5 1st inning (-390)


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Follow The Money: Michigan vs. Iowa is seeing a total of 34.5 currently, Iowa's offense has been historically bad. Michigan may be able to hit this total to the over on their own. If considering unders look at the Iowa team total. View more tips.

Chris Fallica: Georgia (-5). View more picks.