Tuley's Takes: Thursday MLB Best Bets 7/27

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 

July 27, 2023 03:30 AM
 

 

Wednesday Best Bet recaps

Wednesday was a full day in and out of the Tuley’s Takes home office, which included taking the family to the “Barbie” movie.

I knew I would like it but it was fantastic. I’ve been a fan of Margot Robbie for a long time, from “The Wolf of Wall Street” to “Focus to “Suicide Squad” (as Harley Quinn) to “I, Tonya” (as Tonya Harding) to “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” (as Sharon Tate). Sidenote: every gambler needs to see the betting scene in “Focus.”

As for my bets, I won my first play in the morning (Pacific Time) on the Mariners First 5 Innings +115 at the Twins as Seattle scored a run in each of the first four innings and added three in the top of the 5th to lead 7-3 through 5 innings. They also led 3-2 through 3 innings and won the game 8-7.

Unfortunately, I lost my top play on the Mets First 5 Innings +135 at the Yankees as they trailed 3-1 after 5 innings. They also trailed 2-1 through 3 and lost the game 3-1, so that was a lost call all around. The split also ended our string of either sweeping or going 0-fer on our daily plays.

So, our official First 5 plays went 1-1 for +0.15 units, but we still stand a dismal 18-31-5 in July for a net loss of $970 based on $100 flat bets, according to the VSiN Pro Picks page

Let’s go with two more F5 plays on Thursday’s very short card with just five games.

Matt_Manning_Tigers

Thursday MLB Best Bets

Tigers First 5 Innings +100 vs. Angels, Game 2: I actually like the Tigers in both games of their Thursday doubleheader (with Detroit’s Michael Lorenzen vs. LA’s Shohei Ohtani in Game 1), but in the end I like Game 2 with Matt Manning (3-1, 3.19 ERA) vs. Patrick Sandoval (4-7, 4.16 ERA). As regular readers know, I’m not afraid to fade Ohtani, but when it comes down to it I think the better bet is to fade Sandoval (and, frankly, I trust Manning more than Lorenzen as well).

Guardians First 5 Innings +100 at White Sox: Of Thursday’s three other games, I like the road teams, but the Cubs are favored and I don’t trust the Nationals as much as the Guardians here with Tanner Bibee (6-2, 3.04 ERA) vs. Dylan Cease (4-3). I mean, why are the White Sox (on a 5-game losing streak) even favored?.

back to news

Live On Air

Streaming Now: A Numbers Game

play Watch Live radio Listen Live

PRO TIPS & PICKS

Sharp Money: If you like an underdog of under a field goal, it is worth looking at the moneyline. Because of the plus price you don't have to win as many over time and it's closer to a coin flip than people think. View more tips.

Brad Powers: Ohio ST (-3) at Notre Dame, Saturday. View more picks.

Close