Tuley's Takes: Monday MLB Best Bets 7/17

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 

July 17, 2023 01:48 AM


Sunday Best Bet recaps

Sunday was a pretty fun day in the Tuley’s Takes home office as we started the day following the Wimbledon men’s final and the Scottish Open (see our daily ATS Report for more details) and wrapped up with MLB and our weekly appearance on VSiN’s “The Greg Peterson Experience).

Unfortunately, we had a losing day starting with my top play on the Dodgers First 5 Innings +105 at the Mets. We got the start we wanted from Bobby Miller as he threw 4 2/3 scoreless innings before the Mets pushed across a run in the bottom of the 5th inning to lead 1-0 as the Dodgers were unable to break through against Max Scherzer.

I also lost with the Tigers First 5 +150 (actually closed around +130) at the Mariners as they also got a strong starting effort but didn’t score a run.

At least we salvaged the day with a win on Sunday Night Baseball with the Angels First 5 +110 vs. the Astros as they led 3-1 through 5 innings.

Our 1-2 mark cut more into our profits from our 3-0-1 record on Friday as we dropped back to .500 since the All-Star Break and 10-18-1 overall so far in July for a net loss of $560, according to the VSiN Pro Picks page.

Let’s try to get back on the winning track with two MLB First 5 underdogs that I discussed with Peterson (note: my regular Sunday night appearance is at 11:15 p.m. ET/8:15 p.m. PT, or 15 minutes into the archived version).


Monday MLB Best Bets

Marlins First 5 Innings +105 at Cardinals: As I discussed with Peterson, we don’t understand why the Cardinals are still favored over better teams. It’s like these lines are based on historical reputations, but we’ll take it. We get Jesus Luzardo (8-5, 3.29 ERA) vs. Miles Mikolas (5-5, 4.12 ERA) and the last time Luzardo faced these same Cardinals on the Fourth of July, he threw 6 shutout innings and the Marlins coasted to a 15-2 rout in the middle of winning that series 3-1.

Twins First 5 Innings +110 at Mariners: We also like this pitching matchup with Sonny Gray (4-3, 2.89 ERA) vs. Logan Gilbert (7-5, 3.66 ERA). I consider this more of a coin-flip as both teams are right around .500. The only other dog I considered was the Nationals/McKenzie Gore First 5 +120 at the Cubs. I also like the Orioles, riding an 8-game winning streak since before the All-Star Break, but they’re -130 vs. the Dodgers.

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