Tuley: Wednesday Best Bets in MLB 6/7

By Dave Tuley  (VSiN.com senior reporter) 

June 7, 2023 03:39 AM
 

 

Tuesday Best Bet Results

Tuesday was relatively quiet with no NBA or NHL playoff games (well, except for the big news of the PGA/LIV merger) and we used it to get a jump on our handicapping for the Belmont on Saturday. Note: we’ll be posting Team Tuley’s advance plays on Thursday.

As for Tuesday’s bets, we went 0-1-1. Our top play on the Astros First 5 Innings +115 at the Blue Jays looked good early as the Astros jumped out to a 1-0 lead, but the Jays rallied to lead 3-1 after the first 5 innings.

We fell behind 2-0 with our second play on the Orioles First 5 -105 at the Brewers, but at least they rallied to tie it 2-2 for the push.

The losing day dropped our Best Bet record in June to 6-7-1, though we’re still only down $52.27 thanks to the plus-money on some of our underdog winners, according to the VSiN Pro Picks page after going 41-28-8 (59.4%) in the month of May for a profit of 15.6 units..

Let’s look for plays on Wednesday, though we’re passing on Game 3 of the NBA Finals. The Nuggets are 2.5-point road favorites at the Heat and I’m not willing to take the dog as I feel the line is too short (and not willing to fade the Nuggets, who are in the zig-zag role after losing Game 2). We feel we’ve been having such a good spring because we’ve been selective and not just betting every day, but picking our spots when we feel we’re getting enough value. Note: I’m also not planning to take the underdog Golden Knights in Game 3 of the Stanley Cup Finals on Thursday with the Panthers returning home in the zig-zag role.

Athletics_celebrate_win_Pirates

MLB Wednesday Best Bets

A’s First 5 Innings +140 at Pirates: This is an “anti-swagger” play against the Pirates as they had their 6-game winning streak snapped by the A’s in an 11-2 rout on Tuesday night. As much as we love underdogs, we’ve done a good job of passing on the A’s on most nights this season, but this is a spot we’re willing to take them, especially as they’re also a “mini-swagger” play themselves as they snapped a 5-game losing streak with their win. They were the 2nd-biggest dog so far this season at +240 and should also have a lot of confidence with their easy win. While there are some Pittsburgh pitchers I like, I’m not afraid to fade Roansy Contreras (3-4, 4.82 ERA).

Mariners First 5 Innings +100 at Padres: The Mariners as a “mini-swagger’ play after snapping a 3-game losing streak on Tuesday. We’ll also take George Kirby (5-4, 3.04 ERA) vs. Michael Wacha (5-2, 3.48 ERA).

Orioles First 5 Innings +120 at Brewers: After pushing with the Orioles on Tuesday, we’ll take our chances again at a juicy plus-price. We see this as pretty much pick-’em with Dean Kremer (6-2, 4.43 ERA) vs. Corbin Burnes (4-4, 3.75 ERA).

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VSiN Tonight: Pay attention to injury reports. If a number seems too low, don't just just assume the books are sleeping. It's the NFL... The books are NOT sleeping on the most bet on sport in the fall. Always do your research before confirming your bet. View more tips.

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