MLB Best Bets & Props: Expert picks for Thursday, August 3rd

August 3, 2023 08:04 AM

Best Bets on Today's 11-Game MLB Schedule

The 2023 MLB season is heating up and VSiN has you covered with every way you can possibly bet on a baseball game. Normally, Adam Burke will have daily best bets to give you some ideas of what to back when it comes to moneylines, run lines and totals, while I focus on feeding you all player props. However, Adam needed to take care of something today, so I'm tackling everything before we get back to our regularly scheduled programming tomorrow. Keep reading to find out how I'm betting four of the games on the MLB schedule for Thursday, August 3. 

MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on August 3

Here are our favorite MLB prop bets for Thursday, August 3: 

New York Mets at Kansas City Royals (-118. 9.5)

After fading the Mets yesterday, I’m going right back to it today. This season, New York is 7-25 when playing as a moneyline underdog, and it’s just somewhat hard to see that changing here. This Mets team just feels a little lifeless at the moment, with yesterday’s scoreless performance coming as no surprise after the front office decided to give up on the season. Now, New York sends Carlos Carrasco to the mound, and he’s a pitcher that I think the Royals can take advantage of right now. This Kansas City offense has been pretty hot this week, and Carrasco comes into this game after having allowed 18 hits over his last two starts. On the flip side, Brady Singer got off to a really poor start to the season, but he has settled in rather nicely. He’ll welcome this matchup with a struggling Mets team, and he should turn in a solid performance.  

Bet: Royals ML (-118)

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants (-135, 8.5)

Brandon Pfaadt is 0-4 with an 8.20 ERA for the Diamondbacks this season, but the 24-year-old has been solid in his last two starts. He has allowed just three earned runs in back-to-back outings, and another performance like that should do the trick in this meeting with the Giants. San Francisco is turning to its bullpen in this game, with Scott Alexander serving as the team’s opener. I have a hard time believing the Giants bullpen will find a way to keep this Diamondbacks offense down, even if San Francisco’s relievers have been great collectively this season. And while the Giants have won four of their last five games, they have been fortunate in doing so. They have scored four or fewer runs in six games in a row, so opponents aren’t making their miserable offense work for it. Arizona’s bats should wake up here.

Bet: Diamondbacks ML (+114)

Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs (-162, 10)

The Cubs offense has been scorching hot lately, but I’m actually looking at Jameson Taillon’s pitching props here. The righty has been very dialed in for Chicago lately, allowing three or fewer earned runs in each of his last four starts. Taillon has also had at least five strikeouts in four of his last nine outings, and that’s where I’m looking here. Taillon had five strikeouts in 4.2 innings against this Reds team back on May 27th. That was before the righty even got himself going, and I think he’ll reach that same five-strikeout mark again. Depending on where you look, you can find the total at 4.5 tonight. The Reds have a pretty solid offense, but they have the ninth-highest strikeout rate in the league against righties. So, with the way Taillon is throwing, I think he’ll give them some issues. It also just feels like one of the starters in this series is due for some good fortune. These teams have been playing football this week.

Bet: Taillon Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-150)

Did you know that you can parlay these picks together? Try out our VSiN Parlay Calculator HERE!

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