Greg Peterson posts his daily handicapped MLB lines for every game every day. Based on his lines vs. the actual lines, here is where Peterson sees value on today's menu. Peterson also does a daily podcast, The Baseball Betting Show, on which he breaks down every game every day.
Reds vs. Padres Total 9: Greg’s Line 8.3
The Reds have hit just six home runs on the road this season, three fewer than any other MLB team. PetCo Park is one of the best pitcher's parks in the league, shown by the Padres averaging 3.4 runs at home compared to 4.9 runs away from home this season.
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers (-120): Greg’s Line -162.
The Diamondbacks are giving Brandon Pfaadt his first career start after registering a 3.91 ERA with 1.8 home runs per nine innings with AAA Reno this season. He has to face a Rangers lineup that leads the league in runs per game at home with 6.7 and the Rangers support their starter better. The Diamondbacks are 24th in the league in bullpen ERA while the Rangers are 10th and hitting .249 on the road compared to .283 at home.
Pirates vs. Rays (-1.5 +105): Greg's Run Line Rays -1.5 -126.
The Rays lead the league in both runs per game and ERA, which has led to a record of 20-9 on the run line as a favorite. Shane McClanahan also gets the start, the American League starter for the 2022 All-Star Game who enters with a 2.12 ERA and 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings; both are career bests.