Greg Peterson’s MLB value plays for Thursday, May 11

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Greg Peterson posts his daily handicapped MLB lines for every game every day. Based on his lines vs. the actual lines, here is where Peterson sees value on today’s menu. Peterson also does a daily podcast, The Baseball Betting Show, on which he breaks down every game every day.

Mets vs. Reds Total 10. Greg’s Total 9.8.

Mets starter Kodai Sengs has a 3.38 ERA with 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings and is facing a Reds lineup that is averaging the third-fewest runs per game among National League teams. Though Great American Ballpark is usually a good ballpark for hitters, the Reds are 28th in the league in home runs and the Mets have the third-worst batting average in the National League.

Rays (-125) vs. Yankees. Greg’s Line: Rays -137.

The New York Yankees are 26th among the 30 MLB teams in home batting average and have to face a Rays team that leads the league in ERA. When the Yankees had to hit against Rays starter Drew Rasmussen in a start last week, they did not score a run off of him in his 5 2/3 innings of work. The Rays back him up with an offense averaging 6.2 runs per game on the road this season, the most in MLB.

 

 

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Greg, originally from Wisconsin and a UW Oshkosh alumnus, is widely recognized in the sports media industry, particularly for his expertise in college basketball, which earned him the nickname "Hoops" from Brent Musburger. He has worked with Vanderbilt and Oregon's flagship stations and joined VSIN in 2017. Greg contributes to various channels, hosting "The Baseball Betting Show" and "Coast To Coast Hoops" podcasts, and writes for DK Nation, building on his experience with over 500 articles for the New York Post. Known for his analytical approach, he produces daily spreadsheets for college basketball and MLB games, focusing on educating bettors about the importance of betting on numbers rather than teams.