Greg Peterson posts his daily handicapped MLB lines for every game every day. Based on his lines vs. the actual lines, here is where Peterson sees value on today's menu. Peterson also does a daily podcast, The Baseball Betting Show, on which he breaks down every game every day.
Marlins (-125) vs. Cubs. Greg’s Line: Cubs -113).
The Miami Marlins are last in the National League in runs per game, and their starting pitcher Sandy Alcantra's ERA has spiked to 5.09 with his walks per nine inning rate jumping to 3.1 after being 2.0 last season.
Brewers vs. Giants Total 9. Greg's Total 8.3.
The Giants are giving Ross Stripling his fourth start of the season after beginning the season in the bullpen, similar to last season when he began the season in the Toronto Blue Jays bullpen. He finished the 2022 season 10-4 with a 3.01 ERA and is coming off allowing two runs in five innings in his last start on the road against the Houston Astros.
Athletics (-115) vs. Royals. Greg's Line: Royals -143.
The Athletics have the starting pitching advantage with rookie Mason Miller who threw seven no-hit innings in his last start. Yet the team still lost that game. The Athletics are last in the league with a 6.60 bullpen ERA and are 24th in runs per game.
Astros vs. Mariners (-125). Greg's Line: Astros -117.
The Astros will look to Brandon Bielak to carry the increased command he gained in the minors this season to the big leagues. Bielak has a career 4.1 walks per nine innings rate at the MLB level but lowered that to 2.9 at the minor league level this season. He faces a Mariners team that is last in the league in batting average.