Friday MLB Sharp Report

March 31, 2023 01:17 PM

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Friday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET. 

You can also track the VSiN Betting Splits for every game.

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Friday's MLB slate...


9:40 p.m. ET: Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres

The Rockies (1-0) took Thursday's season opener 7-2, winning outright as +185 road dogs. In tonight's rematch, Colorado hands the ball to lefty Kyle Freeland (9-11, 4.53 ERA in 2022) while San Diego (0-1) turns to righty Nick Martinez (4-4, 3.47 ERA). This line opened with the Padres listed as a -175 home favorite and the Rockies a +160 road dog. Pros have laid the chalk with the Padres in a bounce back spot, steaming San Diego up from -175 to -185. The Padres are receiving 82% of bets and 94% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both public and sharp support. San Diego went 32-23 (58%) against lefties last year. Colorado went just 27-54 on the road, the second worst road record behind only the Royals. Wiseguys have also hit the under, dropping the total from 8.5 to 8 across the market. The under is receiving 41% of bets but 66% of money, a sharp contrarian under discrepancy. The forecast calls for mid 50s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing in from center. 


10:10 p.m. ET: Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers (1-0) cruised to an 8-2 victory in yesterday's opener, cashing as -165 home favorites. In tonight's rematch, the Diamondbacks (0-1) turn to righty Merrill Kelly (13-8, 3.37 ERA) while Los Angeles trots out fellow righty Dustin May (2-3, 4.50 ERA). This line opened with the Dodgers listed as a -170 home favorite and the Diamondbacks a +155 road dog. Pros are riding the hot hand and have steamed the Dodgers up from -170 to -190. Currently 86% of bets and 88% of money is laying the chalk with Los Angeles. The Dodgers went 57-24 at home last season, tied with the Yankees for the best home record. Los Angeles has gone 30-8 against Arizona over the past two seasons. Pros have also leaned under, as the total is 8 with the under juiced to -120, signaling a possible fall down to 7.5. 

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