Best Bets on Today's MLB Player Props Market
We're in the final stretch of the 2023 MLB season and VSiN continues to have you covered with every way you can possibly bet on a baseball game. As always, Adam Burke will have daily best bets to give you some ideas of what to back when it comes to moneylines, run lines and totals. However, I'm tackling player props here, and I'm targeting Reese Olson, Tommy Pham and MacKenzie Gore on Wednesday, August 16th. Keep reading to find out how I'm betting on all of them.
MORE: Check out our Pro Picks page for everything our experts have on August 16
Here are our favorite MLB prop bets for Wednesday, August 16th:
Last week, Reese Olson had eight strikeouts in 6.0 innings against this Twins team, yet his strikeout total for today sits at just 5.5. Minnesota will surely try to tweak its approach to attacking the 24-year-old this time around, but I’m just not sure how successful the Twins will be. They have the highest strikeout rate in all of baseball, and I don’t think there’s any real fix for that. In fact, we attacked this very matchup last night, cashing on Alex Faedo’s six-strikeout performance. And I don’t see much standing in the way of Olson making it two nights in a row in which the Twins help out prop bettors.
Olson’s eight-strikeout game against Minnesota last week felt like a long time coming. The exciting young prospect had hit the eight-strikeout mark in two games in his first month with the Tigers. But he cooled off a bit after that, despite having impressive swing-and-miss stuff. Now, I like Olson to reach six strikeouts for the fifth time this season. And I wouldn’t be all that surprised if he does it rather easily.
Bet: Olson Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-105)
Austin Gomber will be on the mound for the Rockies today, which means the Diamondbacks are a focus of mine for hitter props for the second day in a row. Gomber has actually been a lot better in the second half of the season than he was in the first, as his ERA is down to 5.33 on the year. But he still has a 6.82 ERA when pitching at Coors Field, and he now faces an offense that should be able to put up some runs in this hitter-friendly environment.
One player that I love to do some work tonight is Tommy Pham. The veteran has been very good against Gomber in his career, as he is 4 for 13 with a double and two RBIs against the lefty. And overall, Pham has always hit lefties rather hard, so there’s no reason to believe he won’t do it in this ballpark. This game has the highest total on the board, and the Diamondbacks are favored. So, somebody is going to come through with big numbers. Why not play Pham? The oddsmakers clearly have some respect for in this matchup.
Bet: Pham Over 1.5 Total Bases (-145)
MacKenzie Gore has recorded at least 16 outs in two of his last five starts, and he has recorded exactly 15 in three of his last five. So, this total is definitely right on the money for tonight. But I love Gore to go a little deeper in this game than expected, as I think this is a good matchup for him.
Since the start of July, Boston is just 17th in the league in wRC+ against left-handed pitching, so this isn’t exactly an offense that goes out and mashes against lefties. In fact, the Red Sox definitely prefer facing righties. This is also a home start for Gore, which is crucial when looking at his pitcher props. Gore has a 3.91 ERA over 10 starts in D.C., which is a lot better than his 5.11 road ERA.
Gore also threw 6.0 innings of two-run ball in a start against the Milwaukee Brewers in his most recent home outing. So, I think he’ll be excited about getting back into this stadium.
Bet: Gore Over 15.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
Did you know that you can parlay these three picks together at +529 odds? Try out our VSiN Parlay Calculator HERE!
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