Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Wednesday September 6

September 6, 2023 04:25 AM

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Wednesday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.

You can also track the latest odds and betting percentages for every game using our VSiN Betting Splits

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Wednesday's MLB action...


3:37 p.m. ET: Toronto Blue Jays (-175, 8.5) at Oakland Athletics

The Blue Jays (77-62) have taken the first two games of this series, winning Monday's opener 6-5 as -190 road favorites and then winning again 7-1 on Tuesday as -190 road favorites. In this late afternoon series finale, the Blue Jays hand the ball to lefty Hyun Jin Ryu (3-1, 2.48 ERA) and the Athletics (42-97) counter with fellow lefty JP Sears (3-11, 4.60 ERA). This line opened with Toronto listed as a -165 road favorite and Oakland a +150 home dog. Pros have laid the chalk with the Jays to complete the sweep, steaming Toronto up from -165 to -175. The Jays are receiving 90% of bets and 97% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. Non-division road favorites off a win are 173-117 (60%) this season. AL East favorites playing teams outside the division are 218-123 (64%). Teams who made the playoffs the previous season are 49-10 (83%) against the Athletics, producing a 20% ROI. The Jays have the better bats (hitting .261 vs .224) and superior pitching (team ERA 3.70 vs 5.64). Oakland is 41-95 (30%) as a dog, 23-47 (33%) at home, 13-26 (33%) against lefties and 7-24 (23%) against the AL East. Toronto also enjoys a motivational edge, as the Jays currently holds the final AL Wild Card spot while Oakland has long been eliminated from playoff contention. The Jays are 5-0 in Ryu's last five starts. Ryu has a 1.29 ERA on the road compared to 3.60 at home. Sears posted an 8.25 ERA in five August starts. Oakland is just 5-18 in his last 23 starts. 


9:38 p.m. ET: Baltimore Orioles (-130, 8.5) at Los Angeles Angels

The Orioles (87-51) have won the first two games of this series, taking the opener 6-3 as -185 road favorites and then winning again yesterday 5-4 as -180 road favorites. In tonight's series finale, the Orioles start righty Kyle Gibson (13-8, 5.15 ERA) and the Angels (64-75) go with lefty Patrick Sandoval (7-11, 4.19 ERA). This line opened with Baltimore listed as a -125 road favorite and Los Angeles a +105 home dog. Pros have pounced on the Orioles laying a short chalk price, driving Baltimore up from -125 to -130. The Orioles are receiving 86% of bets and 90% of money, signaling heavy support from both the public and respected wiseguys. Sweet spot short road favorites -125 to -155 are 188-110 (63%) this season, producing a 9% ROI. Non division road favorites off a win are 173-117 (60%). Baltimore is 18-5 (78%) as a road favorite and 29-15 (66%) against lefties. The Orioles have the better bats (hitting .257 vs .250) and better pitching (team ERA 4.03 vs 4.73). Los Angeles is just 1-5 in Sandoval's last six starts. Sandoval has a 4.45 ERA at home compared to 3.97 on the road. The Orioles also have the motivational edge as they sit 3.5-games up in the AL East while the Angels are 13-games back in the AL Wild Card race and have waived several veterans in favor of young call ups, thereby waiving the white flag. 

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