Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Wednesday April 26

April 26, 2023 03:08 AM

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves each day. For a full breakdown of Wednesday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET. 

You can also track the VSiN Betting Splits for every game. 

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Wednesday's MLB action...


1:07 p.m. ET: Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays (-185, 9.5)

The Blue Jays (15-9) have taken the first two games of this three game series, winning the opener 5-2 as -155 home favorites and then winning again on Tuesday 7-0 as -200 home favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, the White Sox (7-17) hand the ball to righty Michael Kopech (0-2, 6.97 ERA) and Toronto counters with lefty Yusei Kikuchi (3-0, 3.80 ERA). This line opened with the Jays listed as a -175 home favorite and the White Sox a +160 road dog. Pros have laid the chalk with Toronto to complete the sweep, steaming the Jays up from -175 to -185. Toronto is receiving 82% of bets and 90% of money, a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support. Non-division favorites off a win are 89-48 (65%) this season. Toronto has the edge at the plate (hitting .258 vs .232) and on the mound (4.18 ERA vs 5.53 ERA). Chicago has lost six straight games. The White Sox are 2-13 as a dog and 4-11 on the road. The Jays are 9-5 as a favorite and 6-2 at home. Toronto is +6 in run differential. Chicago is -41. 


6:35 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Dodgers (-135, 8.5) at Pittsburgh Pirates 

The Dodgers (13-11) took last night's series opener 8-7, cashing as -115 road favorites. In tonight's rematch, Los Angeles starts righty Tony Gonsolin, who is making his season debut (16-1, 2.14 ERA in 2022), while the Pirates (16-8) tap fellow righty Roansy Contreras (2-1, 4.57 ERA). This line opened with the Dodgers listed as a -125 road favorite and the Pirates a +110 road dog. Sharps have pounced on Los Angeles at a short juice price, steaming the Dodgers up from -125 to -135. The Dodgers are receiving 62% of bets but 80% of money, a sharp bet discrepancy in their favor. Non-division road favorites are 63-27 (70%) this season. Non-division favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 65-37 (64%). The Dodgers are 12-5 against righties and 7-5 on the road. The total is 8.5 with the over juiced to -115, signaling some over liability and a possible rise up to 9. Currently 75% of bets and 85% of money is on the over, signaling heavy pro and recreational support. The forecast calls for mid 50s with 5 MPH winds blowing out to right center. 

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