Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Wednesday April 19

April 19, 2023 01:52 AM

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Wednesday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET. 

You can also track the VSiN Betting Splits for every game. 

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Wednesday's MLB action...


3:10 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Pirates (-125, 11.5) at Colorado Rockies

The Pirates (11-7) have taken the first two games of this three-game series, winning Monday's opener 14-3 as +125 road dogs and then winning again on Tuesday 5-3 as -110 road favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, Pittsburgh hands the ball to righty Johan Oviedo (1-1, 2.45 ERA) and Colorado (5-13) counters with lefty Austin Gomber (0-3, 8.16 ERA). This line opened at a virtual pick'em with both sides listed at roughly -110. Sharps have gotten down on the Pirates to complete the sweep, steaming Pittsburgh up from -110 to -125. The Pirates are receiving 72% of bets but 81% of money, signaling a combination of both public and sharp support. Non-division road favorites are 49-21 (70%) this season. Non-division favorites off a win are 65-35 (65%). Non-division favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 44-26 (63%). Pittsburgh is 8-4 on the road. Colorado is just 3-6 at home. The Pirates are +8 in run differential. The Rockies are -40, third worst in MLB. The Pirates also have the fresher bullpen, pitching 9.2 innings over the past 3 games compared to 13.2 innings pitched for Colorado. 


4:10 p.m. ET: Atlanta Braves (-115, 9) at San Diego Padres

The Braves (14-4) are 2-0 so far in this series, winning the opener 2-0 as -140 road favorites and then rolling again 8-1 last night as -130 road favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, Atlanta starts righty Charlie Morton (2-1, 3.86 ERA) and San Diego (8-11) taps fellow righty Nick Martinez (0-1, 5.60 ERA). This line opened at a pick'em with both sides listed at -110 odds. Pros have pounced on the Braves to complete the sweep at a cheap chalk price, steaming Atlanta up from -110 to -115. Some shops are inching closer to -120. Atlanta is receiving roughly 80% of bets and dollars, indicating heavy Pro and Joe support. Road favorites who made the playoffs the previous season are 45-23 (66%) this season. Non-division road favorites are 49-21 (70%). The Braves have the better hitting (.269 vs .224) and superior pitching (3.39 ERA vs 4.30 ERA). Atlanta is 10-1 on the road. San Diego is 4-8 at home. The Braves are +33 in run differential. The Padres are -11. 

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