Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Wednesday April 19

April 19, 2023 01:52 AM
 

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Wednesday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET. 

You can also track the VSiN Betting Splits for every game. 

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Wednesday's MLB action...

 

3:10 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Pirates (-125, 11.5) at Colorado Rockies

The Pirates (11-7) have taken the first two games of this three-game series, winning Monday's opener 14-3 as +125 road dogs and then winning again on Tuesday 5-3 as -110 road favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, Pittsburgh hands the ball to righty Johan Oviedo (1-1, 2.45 ERA) and Colorado (5-13) counters with lefty Austin Gomber (0-3, 8.16 ERA). This line opened at a virtual pick'em with both sides listed at roughly -110. Sharps have gotten down on the Pirates to complete the sweep, steaming Pittsburgh up from -110 to -125. The Pirates are receiving 72% of bets but 81% of money, signaling a combination of both public and sharp support. Non-division road favorites are 49-21 (70%) this season. Non-division favorites off a win are 65-35 (65%). Non-division favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 44-26 (63%). Pittsburgh is 8-4 on the road. Colorado is just 3-6 at home. The Pirates are +8 in run differential. The Rockies are -40, third worst in MLB. The Pirates also have the fresher bullpen, pitching 9.2 innings over the past 3 games compared to 13.2 innings pitched for Colorado. 

 

4:10 p.m. ET: Atlanta Braves (-115, 9) at San Diego Padres

The Braves (14-4) are 2-0 so far in this series, winning the opener 2-0 as -140 road favorites and then rolling again 8-1 last night as -130 road favorites. In this afternoon's series finale, Atlanta starts righty Charlie Morton (2-1, 3.86 ERA) and San Diego (8-11) taps fellow righty Nick Martinez (0-1, 5.60 ERA). This line opened at a pick'em with both sides listed at -110 odds. Pros have pounced on the Braves to complete the sweep at a cheap chalk price, steaming Atlanta up from -110 to -115. Some shops are inching closer to -120. Atlanta is receiving roughly 80% of bets and dollars, indicating heavy Pro and Joe support. Road favorites who made the playoffs the previous season are 45-23 (66%) this season. Non-division road favorites are 49-21 (70%). The Braves have the better hitting (.269 vs .224) and superior pitching (3.39 ERA vs 4.30 ERA). Atlanta is 10-1 on the road. San Diego is 4-8 at home. The Braves are +33 in run differential. The Padres are -11. 

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PRO PICKS

Thom Cunningham: Golden Knights at Stars  - 1P - OVER (1.5). View more picks.

PRO TIPS

The Handle: With the recent news on Jimmy Garoppolo's injury clause, consider fading the Raiders in NFL futures markets now in case Las Vegas does in fact move on from the QB. View more tips.

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