Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Tuesday’s betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.
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In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Tuesday’s MLB slate…
7:05 p.m. ET: Cleveland Guardians at Baltimore Orioles (-150, 8.5)
The Guardians (24-29) took Monday’s series opener 5-0, cashing as +125 road dogs. In tonight’s rematch, Cleveland hands the ball to righty Cal Quantrill (2-3, 4.75 ERA) and the Orioles (34-20) counter with fellow righty Kyle Gibson (6-3, 3.82 ERA). This line opened with Baltimore listed as a -140 home favorite and Cleveland a +130 road dog. Pros have gotten down on the Orioles in a bounce back spot laying a short chalk price, steaming Baltimore up from -140 to -150. The Orioles are receiving 73% of bets but 78% of money, signaling a heavy combination of both Pro and Joe support in their favor. AL East teams playing teams from the AL Central are 43-16 (73%) this season. Baltimore has the edge at the plate, hitting .249 compared to .227 for Cleveland. The Orioles are 20-7 as a favorite, 19-12 against righties and 16-11 at home. Pros are also leaning under, as the total is 8.5 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible dip down to 8. The Guardians are the second best under team in MLB (34-18), trailing only the Padres. Baltimore is 4-1 to the under their last five. Cleveland is a perfect 5-0 to the under their last five.
7:10 p.m. ET: Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets (-140, 8.5)
The Phillies (25-28) just split a four-game series against the Braves, losing 11-4 on Sunday as +210 road dogs. Meanwhile, the Mets (27-27) just dropped two of three at the Rockies, losing 11-10 on Sunday as -140 road favorites. In tonight’s series opener, Philadelphia starts lefty Ranger Suarez (0-1, 9.82 ERA) and New York goes with righty Kodai Senga (4-2, 3.94 ERA). This line opened with the Mets listed as a -130 home favorite and the Phillies a +120 road dog. Pros have sided with New York at home, steaming the Mets up from -130 to -140. New York is receiving 59% of bets and 65% of money, signaling modest public support but also respected sharp action. The Mets are 21-18 as a favorite and 12-9 at home. The Phillies are 7-12 as a dog and 11-18 on the road. We could also be looking at a higher scoring game, as the total is 8.5 with the over juiced to -120, signaling a possible rise up to 9. The over is receiving 75% of bets and 80%% of money. The forecast calls for mid 60s with 5-10 MPH winds blowing out to left center. The Mets are 10-4 to the over in their last 14 games.
