Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Tuesday’s betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.
Top MLB Resources:
You can also track the latest odds and percentages for every game using our VSiN Betting Splits.
In the meantime, let’s examine where smart money is leaning for Tuesday’s MLB slate…
7:05 p.m. ET: Cincinnati Reds at Baltimore Orioles (-140, 8.5)
The Orioles (48-29) took Monday night’s Interleague series opener 10-3, cruising as -130 home favorites. In tonight’s rematch, the Reds (41-38) hand the ball to rookie lefty Andrew Abbott (3-0, 1.14 ERA) and the Orioles counter with righty Tyler Wells (6-3, 3.22 ERA). This line opened with Baltimore listed as a -130 home favorite and Cincinnati a +120 road dog. The public is split down the middle and doesn’t know which side to take. However, despite this split ticket count we’ve seen the Orioles creep up from -130 to -140. This signals sharp money laying the chalk with Baltimore. The Orioles are only receiving 50% of bets but 63% of money, further evidence of smart money in their favor. Interleague favorites off a win are 116-60 (66%) this season, producing a 9% ROI. AL East favorites playing non-AL East teams are 130-56 (70%) with a 14% ROI. The Orioles are 27-7 as a favorite, 17-9 against lefties and 25-14 at home. Sharps are also leaning over, as the total is 8.5 with the over juiced to -115. The forecast calls for mid 70s with 5 MPH winds blowing out to right center. Both teams are 5-1 to the over in their last six games. The Reds are 46-33 (58%) to the over, the best over team in MLB.
8:10 p.m. ET: Cleveland Guardians (-135, 9) at Kansas City Royals
The Guardians (37-40) just dropped two of three at home against the Brewers, losing 5-4 in extra innings on Sunday as -110 home favorites. Meanwhile, the Royals (22-56) just split a four-game series at the Rays but lost Sunday’s finale 3-1 as +240 road dogs. In tonight’s series opener. Cleveland starts righty Gavin Williams (0-0, 6.35 ERA) and Kansas City goes with fellow righty Brady Singer (4-7, 6.34 ERA). This line opened with the Guardians listed as a -130 road favorite and the Royals a +120 home dog. Sharps have pounced on Cleveland laying the short chalk price, steaming the Guardians up from -130 to -135. When both teams are coming off a day off, as is the case here, the favorite is 68-38 (64%). The Guardians have the edge at the plate (hitting .247 vs .234) and on the mound (team ERA 3.84 vs 5.21). The Royals are 19-46 as a dog, 16-39 against righties and 10-28 at home. Pros have also leaned under, as the total has fallen from 9.5 to 9 at several shops. Cleveland is 44-30 (59%) to the under, the second best under team after the Padres. When two AL Central teams face off, the under is 34-22 (61%).