Betting Splits and MLB Sharp Money Picks for Tuesday August 22

August 22, 2023 06:55 AM

Wake up with VSiN Daily Morning Bets, a quick 15-minute podcast posted at 7 a.m. ET highlighting the top games and biggest line moves of the day. For a full breakdown of Tuesday's betting action be sure to catch the VSiN Market Insights Podcast at 3 p.m. ET.

You can also track the latest odds and betting percentages for every game using our VSiN Betting Splits

In the meantime, let's examine where smart money is leaning for Tuesday's MLB action...


7:05 p.m. ET: St. Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates (-135, 10) 

The Pirates (56-69) won Monday night's series opener 11-1, easily cashing as +105 home dogs. In tonight's rematch, the Cardinals (55-71) hand the ball to righty Adam Wainwright (3-8, 8.42 ERA) and the Pirates send out fellow righty Johan Oviedo (6-13, 4.55 ERA). This line opened with Pittsburgh listed as a -130 home favorite and St. Louis a +110 road dog. Sharps have pounced on the Pirates laying a short chalk price, driving Pittsburgh up from -130 to -135. The Pirates are receiving 63% of bets and 88% of money, a notable "low bets, higher dollars" sharp bet discrepancy. Home favorites off a blowout win of 10-runs or more are 20-13 (61%) this season. Wainwright has a 16.20 ERA in three August starts. The Cardinals are just 2-10 in Wainwright's last 12 starts. Pittsburgh is 6-2 head-to-head against St. Louis this season. The Cardinals are 24-30 as a dog, 27-34 on the road and 41-51 against righties. The Pirates are 14-11 as a favorite. Pros are also leaning under, as the total is 10 with the under juiced to -115, signaling a possible dip down to 9.5. 


8:10 p.m. ET: Seattle Mariners (-150, 8.5) at Chicago White Sox

The Mariners (70-55) have won seven straight games and took last night's series opener 14-2, cruising as -195 road favorites. In tonight's rematch, the Mariners start righty Bryan Woo (1-3, 4.75 ERA) and the White Sox (49-76) counter with fellow righty Steve Clevinger (5-5, 3.26 ERA). This line opened with Seattle listed as a -140 road favorite and Chicago a +115 home dog. Pros are riding the red hot Mariners, steaming Seattle up from -140 to -150. Seattle is receiving roughly 80% of bets and money, indicating lopsided support from both the public and wiseguys. Sweet spot short road favorites -120 to -150 are 180-116 (61%) this season. Non-division road favorites off a win are 150-101 (60%). Seattle has the better bats (hitting .242 vs .238) and far superior pitching (team ERA 3.69 vs 4.80). Chicago is in a fade spot, going just 29-57 as a dog, 25-34 at home, 35-59 against righties and 30-59 against non-division opponents. The Mariners also hold a motivational edge, as they currently occupy the final Wild Card spot in the AL and are just two games back in the AL West. Chicago is virtually eliminated from playoff contention, sitting 21 games back in the Wild Card race. 

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